Polls In One Place

A bit late, but worth the wait....

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We’ve been waiting for the first major post-election survey and we’re still waiting, so what follows is Polls in One Place minus the first major post-election survey.

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1. The Larry Summers Election:

(Sources: politicalitems.substack.com, ft.com, cnn.com)

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2. John Burn-Murdoch, Financial Times, Chief Data Reporter:

To be clear: the main reason the Democrats lost the US election is that inflation kills political incumbents. But that doesn’t mean there are not other lessons in the results.

Data suggests the Democrats lost ground with moderates, while holding steady among progressives. Charges that racism propelled voters to Donald Trump are at odds with the rightward swing among Black and Hispanic voters, and with a raft of data showing that racial prejudice is in steady decline among Americans of all political stripes.

Instead, the data shows Democrats taking a sharp turn leftward on social issues over the past decade. This has distanced them from the median voter…We see this not only in Democratic voters’ self-reported ideology, but in their views on issues including immigration and whether or not minorities need extra help to succeed in society. Notably, the shift began in 2016. This suggests that Trump’s election radicalized the left, not the right.

(Source: ft.com)

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